Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.007720 0.009011 0.010545 0.012529 0.015068 0.018267 0.022698
2025-10-05 0.006395 0.008067 0.010293 0.013579 0.018509 0.026012 0.039178
2025-10-12 0.005513 0.007306 0.009875 0.014032 0.021053 0.033505 0.060603
2025-10-19 0.004774 0.006542 0.009211 0.013826 0.022358 0.039518 0.084942
2025-10-26 0.004295 0.006057 0.008837 0.013939 0.024202 0.047584 0.124383
2025-11-02 0.003860 0.005563 0.008344 0.013692 0.025223 0.054502 0.172985
2025-11-09 0.003424 0.005006 0.007650 0.012902 0.024795 0.057516 0.214456
2025-11-16 0.003088 0.004573 0.007108 0.012293 0.024582 0.061136 0.271009
2025-11-23 0.002909 0.004381 0.006963 0.012457 0.026323 0.072475 0.427116
2025-11-30 0.002703 0.004121 0.006658 0.012215 0.026929 0.080500 0.618296
2025-12-07 0.002499 0.003846 0.006289 0.011762 0.026804 0.085694 0.841032
2025-12-14 0.002349 0.003650 0.006052 0.011571 0.027401 0.095024 1.311940
2025-12-21 0.002259 0.003569 0.006056 0.012018 0.030450 0.122993 3.908986
2025-12-28 0.002221 0.003583 0.006257 0.013024 0.036132 0.183051 63.176790
2026-01-04 0.002136 0.003497 0.006236 0.013453 0.040070 0.247618 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002013 0.003325 0.006008 0.013258 0.041374 0.294696 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001924 0.003212 0.005894 0.013365 0.044186 0.381085 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001821 0.003062 0.005681 0.013132 0.045276 0.454259 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001695 0.002858 0.005322 0.012386 0.043350 0.460365 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001590 0.002690 0.005031 0.011810 0.042119 0.481562 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001538 0.002624 0.004975 0.011964 0.045109 0.651516 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001467 0.002517 0.004809 0.011736 0.045767 0.772421 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001391 0.002394 0.004595 0.011307 0.044988 0.837194 NaN